Hedging with CFDs
Successful share and CFD traders realize that protecting the money they have
is just as important, if not more so, than earning more money from trading. They
know that it takes money to make money as a share and CFD trader, and they will
do whatever it takes to protect their investment capital. Hedging is a trading
technique that allows you to protect the trades you are in against sudden and
unexpected losses. Hedging also provides you with increased flexibility to
remain in investments when you may otherwise have been forced to exit for a
substantial loss. Perhaps the greatest benefit of hedging is you do not have to
hedge every trade, yet you have the ability to apply a hedge to almost any trade
at any time. CFDs can be used as part of a hedging strategy to help protect
existing share and CFD positions and your total portfolio. Since a CFD is a
margined product, you can use its leverage to protect the total value of a share
position without having to pay a lot up front for it. In this section we will
discuss the following three strategies for hedging your trading positions and
your trading account as a whole:
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Hedge-Single Share |
One popular hedging strategy that combines share and CFD trading is
hedging a single share position with a CFD during turbulent market
times.
Imagine you are currently holding 10,000 ABC Bank shares. It is
November 2007 and you expect the bank to have some short-term problems
due to the credit squeeze stemming from difficulties in the U.S. housing
market. However, you believe it is only a short-term weakness and the
ABC Bank is a sound long-term investment.
Initially you bought those 10,000 ABC Bank shares at £5.82 back in
November 2005 for a total of £58,200. Currently, ABC is trading between
£7.20 and £7.40 but, with the credit crisis looming, you expect to
suffer a significant short-term loss on the share, perhaps pushing the
price as low as where it was when you invested.
However, you expect to see the share price find support, turn
around and resume its previous upward trend.
Because you don't know for sure that the market will go up or down,
you decide to hedge your position rather than selling out. To hedge you
position you decide to sell an equal number of CFDs at the current
market price to offset your share investment and create the hedge.
In this case, you sell 10,000 ABC CFDs at £7.40 to cover the 10,000
shares of ABC Bank share you own.
Thanks to the leverage you enjoy with
CFDs, you are only required to put up 10 percent of the value of ABC
Bank shares - at a cost of £7,400
(10,000 shares x £7.40 per share x 10%
= £7,400).
At this point one of the following three things can happen:
- The share price can go up
- The share price can go down
- The share price can remain where it is
Share price goes up - if the share price goes up you
will make a gain on your share trade which will be offset by the loss on
your CFD trade. For example if the share price rises from £7.40 to £8.40
you will make £10,000 on your share trade, but you will also lose
£10,000 on your CFD trade. At this point, if you believe the share price
is going to continue rising, you can unwind the hedge by buying back the
CFDs you sold.
Share price goes down - if the share price goes down
you will make a gain on your CFD trade which will be offset by the loss
on your share trade. For example if the share price drops from £7.40 to
£6.40 you will make £10,000 on your CFD trade but you will also lose
£10,000 on your share trade. At this point, if you feel the share price
is ready to turn around and resume its previous trend, you can unwind
the hedge by buying back the CFDs you sold.
Share price remains flat - if the share price remains
flat you will not make a gain or loss on either your share or your CFD
trade. For example if the share price remains flat at £7.40 you will
make ВЈ0 on your share trade but you will also lose £0 on your CFD
trade. At this point, if you feel the share price is ready to resume its
previous trend, you can unwind the hedge by buying back the CFDs you
sold.
Regardless of what the share price does, the outcome from the hedge
is therefore that you will retain any profit from the point at which you
establish the hedge.
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Hedge-Pair Trading |
Another popular hedging strategy combines buying a CFD on the share
of one company and simultaneously selling a CFD on the share of another
company in the same industry. This hedging strategy is called pair
trading because you are trading a pair of CFDs. Pair trading is based on
the fact that the shares of companies in the same industry tend to move
in the same direction. When an industry is performing particularly well
most of the shares of the companies within that industry tend to do
well. Conversely when an industry is performing poorly most of the
shares of the companies within that industry tend to do poorly.
As a pair trader you are looking to buy a CFD on the share of the
strongest company within the industry and sell a CFD on the share of the
weakest company within the industry. Once you have entered your pair
trade you anticipate that one of two things will happen:
-
the shares of both companies will move higher but the share
underlying the CFD you bought will make a larger move up than the share
underlying the CFD you sold
-
the shares of both companies will move lower, but the share
underlying the CFD you sold will make a larger move down than the share
underlying the CFD you bought.
In both scenarios you count on losing money on one of your CFDs, but
you count on making enough money on the other CFD to offset your losses
and provide you with a net gain. It is like making a prediction that, if
you are going to race a new Porsche against a 1961 Volkswagen Beetle,
the new Porsche is going to win. Of course the new Porsche may get a
flat tyre or break down before it can cross the finish line, which would
allow the Volkswagen Beetle to win, but the chances of that happening
are slim.
Of course it is also possible that both trades can move in your favor
- allowing you to profit from the CFD you bought as its underlying
security moves higher and allowing you to profit from the CFD you sold
as its underlying security moves lower.
Conversely it is possible that both trades can move against you -
causing you to experience losses from the CFD you bought as its
underlying security moves lower, and likewise causing you to experience
losses from the CFD you sold as its underlying security moves higher.
Imagine you are interested in constructing a pair trade on shares in
the oil industry, and you believe British Petroleum (BP:xlon) and Royal
Dutch Shell (RDSb:xlon) would make excellent trading candidates for a
pair trade.
You look at the two shares, and British Petroleum is trading
at £5.72 and Royal Dutch Shell is trading at £20.36.
When you enter a pair trade it is crucial you weight each side of
your trade equally. Otherwise the trade will be out of balance and may
not perform the way you expect it to. To balance you pair trade, you
must ensure you control the same amount of value in whatever assets on
which the CFDs are based.
For example, in this case, you are looking to
control approximately £100,000 worth - or 17,482 shares at £5.72 per
share (17,482 x £5.72 = £99,997.04) - of British Petroleum shares and
approximately £100,000 worth - or 4,911 shares at £20.36 (4,911 x £20.36
= £99,987.96) - of Royal Dutch Shell shares.
Now that you know how many of the underlying shares you want to
control, and the current trading price of those shares, you can enter
your trade. Because you are trading CFDs, which employ leverage, you can
control £100,000 of the underlying share without using £100,000 of your
own money.
In this example, you only have to cover 5 percent of the
value of British Petroleum's share price, or £4,999 (ВЈ99,997.04 x 5% =
£5,000) and 10 percent of Royal Dutch Shell's share price, or £9,999
(£99,987.96 x 10% = £10,000).
In total you must therefore provide
approximately £15,000 in margin to enter this trade with CFDs, not the
full £200,000 if you were to use the shares themselves.
You must also remember that you either pay or receive interest each
day when you trade CFDs on margin.
In this case you will pay interest of
£22.80 per day on the British Petroleum CFDs you have bought, yet you
will meanwhile receive interest of £22.80 per day on the Royal Dutch
Shell CFDs you have sold.
These payments and credits will offset each
other in this pair trade.
Now imagine that the price of British Petroleum rises slightly to
£5.735 and the price of Royal Dutch Shell falls to £19.52 as your trade
progresses over 14 days, and you exit your trade.
Your profit on the
British Petroleum position is £0.015 per CFD, or £262.23 (17,482 x
£0.015 = £262.23)
Your profit on the Royal Dutch Shell position is
£0.84 per CFD, or £4,125.24 (4,911 x £0.84 = £4,125.24)
Your total
profit on this pair trade is therefore £4,387.47 (£262.23 + £4,125.24=
£4,387.47)
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Hedge-Index Diversification |
Hedging does not require you to be in two offset positions
simultaneously like you are when you hedge a single share position by
offsetting it with a CFD. You can also hedge your overall account risk
by diversifying your investments across a broad spectrum. Whether you
believe shares are more likely to move higher or lower, you can improve
your chances of success by buying or selling a broad range of CFDs.
The easiest way to hedge by diversifying is to buy an index-tracking
CFD. An index-tracking CFD is a contract that derives its value from a
large share index, like the S&P 500 or the FTSE 100, and not from a
single share.
Imagine you believe that shares in general are going to move higher,
but you aren't exactly sure which ones you should buy. Since you don't
want to risk missing out on the predicted upward movement in shares just
because you might choose the wrong ones, you decide to buy a few
index-tracking CFDs - the FTSE 100, NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow Jones and DAX
index tracking CFDs.
Now, if shares in general increase in value, you
will make money on your trades. Even if a few shares in each index
decrease in value, the average performance of the entire index will most
likely counterbalance these negative movers.
This concept also works when you believe shares in general are going
to move lower. You can sell index-tracking CFDs and benefit from the
price drop in the overall market.
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